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Matchup Breakdown: Arizona Wildcats vs Oregon State Beavers

With the help of our new partners at Pro Football Focus, we provide an in-depth look at how the Wildcats and Beavers will match up on each side of the ball.

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Arizona offense vs Oregon State defense

In looking at Pro Football Focus' analytics here (you can view the grades below), the scary thing for the Beavers is just how good Arizona's pass blocking is (88.9) and how bad OSU's pass rush is (54.5). Oregon State has been abysmal getting to the quarterback this season as they simply don't have quality pass rushers. Their best defensive line pass rusher is Jeromy Reichner, but he hasn't played a snap yet this season and it doesn't seem like that will change anytime soon, unfortunately.

This is going to be a high scoring game. Both teams lack a solid pass rush. Khalil Tate's passing grade for this season is 75.1, which is slightly up from 73.1 from last season. Arizona's offensive game plan has completely changed though with Rich Rodriguez out and Kevin Sumlin in, and while it's been better for Tate as a passer, it's not better for him as a runner and overall player, according to the analytics.

In 2017, Tate had an offensive grade of 90.6, which is an incredible season grade. It's down to 73.3 this season. His rushing grade last year was 90.3 and it's down to 54.8 through three games in 2018. The analytics reflect what the eye test shows when looking at Tate and the Arizona offense.

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Understanding the grades

Elite - 99-95

High quality -- 94-90

Good -- 89-80

Above average – 79-70

Average – 69-60

Below average - 59-45

Poor – 44 and below

Being ranked in the average category is not necessarily bad. The Pro Football Focus grading scale has a very high standard. "Average" can basically be replaced with "expected."

Arizona Offense
Offensive Category Season Grade

Passing

76.7

Pass block

88.9

Receiving

73.0

Rushing

68.6

Run block

54.3

Overall Offensive Grade

73.8

Oregon State Defense
Defensive Category Season Grade

Rush defense

69.8

Tackling

65.3

Pass rush

54.5

Coverage

64.3

Special teams

65.2

Overall Defensive Grade

65.7

Players to Watch
AZ OFF Season Grade OSU DEF Season Grade

WR Shawn Poindexter

84.2

CB Kaleb Hayes

74.6

RB Darrius Smith

75.3

S Jalen Moore

73.1

QB Khalil Tate

73.3

OLB Kee Whetzel

70.0

WR Tony Ellison

71.6

DT Elu Aydon

67.4

WR Shun Brown

68.4

LB Doug Taumoelau

64.1

Oregon State offense vs Arizona defense

Arizona has played in three games this season, and allowed 28, 45, and 31 points in those contests. That's a lot of points for a team that is actually graded pretty well defensively. PFF grades them at 75.7 this season, which is just narrowly behind Oregon State's high flying offense at 76.1, which ranks No. 24 in the nation in yards per game and No. 56 in points per game.

The Wildcats grade especially high in run defense and tackling, which could cause a problem for the Beavers as they've used their rushing attack to break off big runs through the first three weeks of the season. Oregon State has a bad run blocking grade, so if the Wildcats' run defense does show up like the analytics believe, it could be a long day for Jermar Jefferson.

Arizona is about a seven point favorite in this contest and the over/under is set at 75.5. That's a very high under, and I think it could get near that but I think the total outcome will be right around 68-72 total points. Both offenses are strong and the defenses have shown flashes of good but are mostly average.

Oregon State Offense
Offensive Category Season Grade

Passing

75.8

Pass block

67.4

Receiving

75.2

Rushing offense

75.1

Run block

59.0

Overall Offensive Grade

76.1

Arizona Defense
Defensive Category Season Grade

Run defense

83.0

Tackling

84.7

Pass rush

55.8

Coverage

72.8

Special teams

70.5

Overall Defensive Grade

75.7

Players to Watch
OSU OFF Season Grade AZ DEF Season Grade

WR Isaiah Hodgins

83.0

LB Colin Schooler

76.5

RB Jermar Jefferson

77.3

S Jarrius Wallace

75.7

QB Conor Blount

71.5

DL Finton Connolly

73.7

QB Jake Luton

71.4

S Tristan Cooper

70.1

OT Blake Brandel

70.8

S Isaiah Hayes

69.4

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